Redpoint Advisors launches RIFT, an AI tool to forecast instability in 50+ countries
Redpoint Advisors has launched the Redpoint Instability Forecasting Tool (RIFT), an AI-enabled platform that assesses instability in more than 50 countries and forecasts the likelihood of an unusual surge in conflict or protest activity over the next 14 days. The U.S.-based intelligence firm says the tool is available now to individuals, corporations and government agencies.
- Redpoint Advisors launched RIFT, an AI-enabled instability forecasting platform covering more than 50 countries.
- It forecasts the likelihood of an unusual surge in conflict or protest activity during the next 14 days and shows the evidence behind each assessment.
- Redpoint cites a protest forecast for India on October 8 and a "Critical" conflict rating for Saudi Arabia before the October 10 attack on Riyadh's airport.
- The company claims greater than 80 percent accuracy; models are retested weekly.
- RIFT was built by subsidiary VoxCroft Analytics and is available now to individuals, corporations and government agencies.
What RIFT does
According to Redpoint Advisors, RIFT is meant to give business and government leaders an early view of emerging risks to their people, investments and operations. The platform assesses current instability in more than 50 countries and forecasts whether conflict or protest activity is likely to rise unusually in the following 14 days. It also shows the evidence behind each assessment.
Users can go further than the headline rating. They can explore the developments driving risk, read weekly thematic reports, and ask targeted questions that return referenced analysis.
Matthew Bockner, CEO of Redpoint Advisors, said: "Organizations increasingly need insight that goes beyond telling them what is already happening." He added that RIFT "helps leaders see instability building and make better-informed decisions before events affect their people, operations, or investments."
Two examples from the week before launch
The company pointed to two cases from the days before the release. On Thursday, October 8, RIFT's Protest Forecast flagged India for an unusual rise in protest activity. Analysts using the tool traced the forecast to its drivers: a planned mass mobilization in New Delhi by the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP) demanding the resignation of the Chief Election Commissioner. According to the company, this led to the police denying protest permits and deploying roughly 23,000 security personnel.
In the same period, RIFT's Conflict Forecast rated Saudi Arabia "Critical" and rising, which Redpoint describes as a rare reading for a country with a low baseline of violence. On October 10, Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile attack against the international airport in Riyadh.
Chris Ringenbach, Managing Director of Geopolitical Risk at Redpoint Advisors, said: "In about sixty seconds, I was able to identify the key drivers behind RIFT's New Delhi forecast." He also said: "RIFT tells you where to look and shows you why before the headlines do."
How it was built
RIFT was developed by VoxCroft Analytics, a subsidiary of Redpoint Advisors, through years of work with U.S. military and intelligence elements. The company says the forecasts are delivered at greater than 80 percent accuracy. That figure is Redpoint's own claim, and the release does not describe how accuracy is measured.
The platform combines market-leading models with open-source intelligence curated by Redpoint's global network of intelligence professionals. According to the company, these professionals validate inputs using NATO-standard reliability grading and add timeliness through community-sentiment sources. The models are retested weekly to improve accuracy.
Redpoint acquired VoxCroft Analytics, Inc. in May 2026. The deal paired Redpoint's human expertise in intelligence, banking, legal and regulatory matters with VoxCroft's AI capabilities for analyzing hyperlocal social, political and security dynamics, including in difficult-to-access and frontier markets. RIFT is the latest AI-driven capability the firm has introduced since the acquisition.
Who can use it
Redpoint says RIFT is available now to individuals, corporations and government agencies, with more information at redpointadvisors.com/rift. The release does not give pricing or access terms.
For organizations that operate in volatile markets, the pitch is an early-warning layer that sits alongside human analysis: a short-term forecast, the evidence behind it, and the ability to question the underlying data. Redpoint, founded in 2014, provides intelligence, geopolitical risk, insider risk and overwatch services to corporate entities, family offices and government agencies. The examples it cites are drawn from its own analysts' use of the tool, so independent verification of the forecasts is not part of the announcement.
